Macro Heatmap Apr 18, 2026 · 5 regions · 11 themes
🇺🇸 United States
GDP~2.0%
CPI3.3%
Rate3.75%
UE4.3%
🇪🇺 Eurozone
GDP0.2% QoQ
HICP2.5%
DFR2.00%
UE6.2%
🇨🇳 China
GDP5.0%
PPI+0.5%
LPR3.00%
UE5.4%
🇯🇵 Japan
GDP1.3% ann
CPI1.3%
BoJ0.75%
UE2.8%
🇮🇳 India
GDP7.8%
CPI3.40%
Repo5.25%
UE4.9%
Improving
Stable
Deteriorating
Mixed
Diverging
Critical
Theme USEUCNJPIN
Inflation ↓︎CPI 3.3% ↓︎HICP 2.5% ↑︎PPI +0.5% ↑︎CPI 1.3% ↓︎CPI 3.40%
Monetary Policy →︎Hold 3.63% ↓︎Hike risk →︎Hold 3.00% ↓︎Hike Jun →︎Hold 5.25%
Property ↓︎PERMIT -5.8% ↑︎Permits +10% ↓︎Distressed →︎Real flat →︎Stable
Trade & Tariffs ↕︎SCOTUS flux ↓︎Iran drag ↕︎$1.2T surp ↕︎CN+32% US- ↑︎Tariff -7pp
High Importance
Theme USEUCNJPIN
Labor Market →︎UE 4.3% ↑︎UE 6.2% low ↓︎UE 5.4% ↑︎UE 2.8% ↑︎UE 4.9% low
Consumer ↓︎Sent. low ↓︎Conf -13.1 ↓︎Save 36% ↓︎Spend -1.8% ↓︎PMI 3y low
Credit ↑︎HY OAS 2.9% ↑︎NFC +2.93% ↓︎TSF weak ↑︎Cred +4.3% ↑︎Cred +14.5%
Growth →︎WEI 2.80 ↓︎GDP 0.2%Q →︎GDP 5.0% →︎GDP 1.3%a ↑︎GDP 7.8%
Monitoring
Theme USEUCNJPIN
Currency / FX ↓︎DXY 98.23 ↑︎EUR 1.18 ↑︎CNY 6.83 ↓︎JPY 159.2 ↓︎INR 92.58
Fiscal / Debt ↓︎TermPrem+72 ↓︎BTP 94bp ↓︎Fisc -8.5% ↓︎JGB record →︎Def 4.4%
Demographics →︎Normalizing →︎Tight labor ↓︎Youth stress ↓︎WAP -0.28% ↕︎Dividend?
Scenario Probabilities · 12-Month Outlook
US
Soft Landing48%
Reacceleration20%
Recession20%
Stagflation12%
EU
Stagflation35%
Managed Adjustment25%
Recession25%
Fragmentation Crisis15%
CN
Managed Deceleration57%
Stimulus Overshoot22%
Property Contagion13%
Hard Landing8%
JP
Successful Normalization40%
Deflation Relapse25%
Yen Crisis20%
Wage-Price Spiral15%
IN
Reform Acceleration38%
Stagflation33%
Monsoon Shock18%
Credit Crunch11%